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Saturday, May 31, 2025

No Meeting Required? – The Cipher Temporary



They famous that the infrastructure concerned in producing the briefing is housed within the CIA, and that shifting it may show problematic. Beth Sanner, a Cipher Temporary knowledgeable former Deputy Director of the Workplace of the Director of Nationwide Intelligence, who oversaw the PDB throughout the first Trump administration, mentioned it will be “an enormous mistake.” 

“It will create inefficiencies and danger miscommunication and errors,” Sanner advised The New York Occasions.

Gabbard’s workplace mentioned the transfer was ordered to supply the president extra “well timed and actionable” intelligence.

Additionally final week, Politico revealed a report saying that President Trump – who is understood to want verbal reasonably than written displays of intelligence, has all however ceased to obtain the PDB in any style. The report mentioned that within the first 100 days of Trump’s second time period, he had obtained the PDB solely 12 occasions. 

The White Home responded to the Politico report by saying that the president will get all the pieces he wants from his high nationwide safety aides – whose leaders additionally obtain displays of the PDB. 

“The president is continually apprised of categorised briefings and is repeatedly in contact along with his nationwide safety group,” mentioned Davis Ingle, a White Home spokesperson. “Your complete intelligence group actively informs President Trump in actual time about crucial nationwide safety developments.”

Intelligence group veterans have been much less charitable. 

“The purpose of getting an $80 billion intelligence service is to tell the president to avert a strategic shock,” a former CIA analyst advised Politico. 

How a lot do these items matter?  

The Cipher Temporary reached out this week to Sanner, the PDB presenter for President Trump throughout his first time period. She spoke concerning the current PDB information with Cipher Temporary Managing Editor Tom Nagorski. Their dialog has been edited for size and readability.


THE CONTEXT


  • The President’s Day by day Temporary (PDB) was formally launched in 1964 for President Lyndon B. Johnson. A prototype of the PDB, referred to as the “President’s Intelligence Examine Listing,” was produced in 1961 for President John F. Kennedy. 
  • The PDB is coordinated by the Workplace of the Director of Naval Intelligence (ODNI) and attracts on all-source intelligence from the CIA, NSA, FBI and different components of the intelligence group (IC). It’s meant to supply intelligence to the president. It is usually used to tell different senior nationwide safety officers, together with the vp, the nationwide safety advisor, and the secretaries of State and Protection.
  • Tulsi Gabbard, the Director of Nationwide Intelligence, is shifting the meeting of the PDB from CIA headquarters to the ODNI. Officers say the transfer goals to shore up the position of the ODNI amid vows by the Trump administration to “overhaul” the IC. CIA officers write a lot of the evaluation that goes into the PDB. 
  • Politico studies that between Inauguration Day and early Could, President Trump sat in on solely 12 displays of the PDB by intelligence officers. President Trump reportedly met with intelligence officers to listen to the PDB presentation extra typically – although nonetheless much less repeatedly than his predecessors – throughout his first time period. 

The Cipher Temporary: Are you able to give us a 101 clarification of the PDB. What’s it and why does it exist? 

Sanner: It is mainly a categorised newspaper or publication. It is not so long as a newspaper. A lot of the [intelligence] group at one level contributes not directly, however most of it proper now’s written by CIA analysts. 

It goes out day-after-day; it is delivered by briefers to the highest couple of dozen senior nationwide safety officers within the authorities, from the struggle fighters to financial coverage makers to the common overseas coverage individuals you’d anticipate, on the secretary and deputy secretary degree. Nevertheless it’s ready with the president in thoughts. It is his guide. 

Every president has a really totally different fashion with consuming the PDB.

I used to be the pinnacle of the PDB for the ODNI for 2 years, after which I grew to become the president’s briefer after I grew to become deputy DNI. I noticed how that labored. With [President Trump], we did oral briefings two to a few occasions every week, my predecessor and myself. That lasted mainly a half an hour to as a lot as an hour. And in order that was how he consumed info. However he did not learn.

The Cipher Temporary: You mentioned two or thrice every week, so not a each day presentation. On these different days, did the PDB simply goes into the ether? Did the president not get the briefing?

Sanner: It goes to all people else, together with the Nationwide Safety Advisor, the Vice President, the Chief of Workers. Usually, all these individuals within the West Wing are getting it and taking briefings with a briefer, in addition to going via the guide with their briefer. Some individuals select to learn, and do not have a briefer.

However in any case, there are a number of individuals within the West Wing who’re getting it each day. And our assumption, and I feel a reasonably good one, is that if something is occurring that’s pressing, any a type of individuals would stroll in or would make a name as much as the residence. I personally didn’t fear concerning the cadence of two to a few occasions every week. And in reality, I felt that in a means it labored higher, as a result of it allowed me to consolidate a number of tales from totally different companies and totally different sources, the PDB being the central a part of that.

I name it storytelling. I do not imply that like a baby’s guide, however I imply placing tales collectively in a little bit bit extra granularity and complexity. I feel it is simpler to soak up than going via a guide that has six issues which are completely not associated to one another. You may create a stream, and you may make sense and join the world a little bit bit higher when you’ve a cadence that may be a lengthy time period, however spaced out. 

However this new report about him solely getting [the briefing] possibly as soon as every week now, I personally don’t assume that that’s sufficient, given the complexity of the world and the entire issues happening. I’d say it must be thrice every week.

The Cipher Temporary: That report mentioned that in President Trump’s first roughly 100 days, there had been 12 classes of in-person displays of the PDB. The White Home was requested for remark they usually mentioned the president, each time he wants one thing, he has his nationwide safety group round him to get it. What’s fallacious with that reply, if something?

Sanner: It is not totally different than a whole lot of different presidents. I need to be clear about that. I feel the distinction for President Trump is that many presidents who didn’t take briefings – for instance, President Clinton took virtually no briefings — however he learn. So that you type of need that backstop, of the President it.

President Trump was by no means upset at me for arguing with him or telling him one thing that he did not need to hear. I imply, actually there have been moments, identical to with any president, the place it isn’t one of the best briefing on this planet that day. I had pals who briefed totally different presidents who had these awkward moments and troublesome moments. However I all the time got here again the following time. And there was by no means an issue after I walked within the door the following day. And I feel that that is the concept, and it is within the statute itself, which says that the intelligence group is meant to supply goal, well timed, related intelligence with out regard for coverage desire.

So in contrast to anybody else that goes to see the president, that you’re the one who must be delivering that uncomfortable fact or that troublesome reality that did not really go that means. I referred to as myself the skunk on the backyard occasion and joked about it, as a result of it is actually the one means you are able to do it. Everyone else is incentivized to please. I used to be incentivized to say what different individuals did not need to say.

In truth, with many individuals on his group, I considered it as very a lot a group sport. [They said] Beth, are you gonna temporary this at this time? In fact I am gonna temporary that. Good. I all the time bought full help from everybody on the group, as a result of they actually needed the president to get info. 

And so it shocks me in a means that this group, I would not say they did not really feel the identical means, however possibly they do not have the appreciation of what this ought to be or what that is purported to be, as a result of it is really of their curiosity. Perhaps they do not need to have the “Hey, boss” dialog, however that is our job.


Specialists are gathering at The Cipher Temporary’s NatSecEDGE convention June 5-6 in Austin, TX to speak about the way forward for struggle. Be part of the dialog.


The Cipher Temporary: Mike Collins, head of the Nationwide Intelligence Council (NIC) just lately misplaced his job and it seems that it was as a result of the intelligence evaluation he supplied on a problem pertinent to Venezuela didn’t line up with coverage. Is that an instance of the identical factor, do you assume? One thing they won’t have needed to listen to?

Sanner: Positive. Sure, that’s an uncomfortable evaluation. And I observed that Nationwide Safety Advisor and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, when requested about it, he mentioned, nicely, look, I agreed with the FBI place in that memo. And to me, that is why it is so good and necessary for the intelligence group to do the type of work that that NIC memo did.

It laid out what they thought, why they thought that, and supplied ample area for a dissenting opinion, for evaluation that wasn’t the settlement of everybody. And I feel that is essential as a result of generally that dissenting view is right, generally it isn’t. However usually what I discovered in my expertise was that nearly the entire recipients of PDBs and NIC merchandise really appreciated having these views even after they disagreed with them, as a result of it helped them assume. 

The intelligence group will not be like asking individuals to hit the straightforward button and the “I agree with you” button. That is not our position. Our position is to say what we predict and why we predict it. But in addition now we have to have humility in that. The intelligence group is not all the time proper. However when carried out accurately and behind closed doorways, I can’t perceive why anyone would say that presenting an intelligence evaluation that disagreed with coverage wanted to cease, or was an instance of deep state. It is not. And it is actually necessary.

The Cipher Temporary: The information additionally got here out final week that the PDB was being successfully moved out of CIA headquarters. A few of us may assume, OK, that simply seems like an in-the-weeds bureaucratic reshuffle. Is it?

Sanner: As Deputy DNI for mission integration, mission integration meant two issues for me. One was the intelligence group integration. And the second factor was to attempt to combine the weather of the items that labored for me. And that included the mission managers, the Nationwide Intelligence Council, the PDB and the oversight group that did extra technical issues. I didn’t really feel that these groups have been collaborating sufficient. 

So I’d say that on one hand, the concept of bringing all these items collectively and having them collaborate extra is definitely a very good factor on the face of it. I needed the PDB people to speak to the nationwide intelligence officers as a result of I needed to double test – is that this dissent that somebody has, is that this legitimate? What do you consider the proof? Have we edited this accurately? Or is the road in keeping with the earlier line by way of the analytic conclusions? So I needed individuals to work collectively.

However the issue with shifting the PDB is that it is a actually complicated ecosystem that’s run by CIA. CIA is an government agent. And other people assume they’re simply editors. It is not simply editors. It is actually the technical a part of it, the technical help for journey, the usage of digital media, the graphics individuals, the editors — all of that comes collectively at CIA headquarters. It’s arduous in some circumstances to do this with out being in particular person. I have no idea how the briefers, in the event that they’re sitting a mile, two miles down the road, how will they decide up their supplies? How are they going to get their tablets? How is that every one going to work? 

My view right here is that if anyone desires to place their thumb on the size of study within the PDB, you do not want to maneuver the PDB. That is not proper. In the event that they need to, they will simply inform the briefer – which might not be proper – do not temporary that. Or when the briefer finishes, Tulsi Gabbard or [CIA Director John] Ratcliffe may chime in and say that they disagreed and assume that that is not good evaluation. There are many methods of placing your thumb on the size. You need not transfer it. So this concept from the ODNI that it will permit them to reply extra shortly to requests for info, that’s an reverse world assertion. It should make it more durable, not simpler.

I simply assume that they are probably not understanding the technical a part of this, despite the fact that I do not disagree with the concept of consolidation by way of making an attempt to get individuals to work extra intently collectively as a part of the ODNI.

Learn extra expert-driven nationwide safety insights, perspective and evaluation in The Cipher Temporary as a result of Nationwide Safety is Everybody’s Enterprise.

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