Alabama QB Jalen Milroe is among the most charming prospects within the 2025 NFL Draft. After stepping out from underneath Bryce Younger’s shadow in 2023, the Crimson Tide sign caller wowed followers and NFL Draft evaluators with athleticism that had his former coach Nick Saban marveling at him.
After being benched in 2023 after the USF sport, Milroe got here again with a vengeance, ending the season in a flourish that mixed an SEC Championship victory with some of the spectacular throws I’ve ever seen within the 2023 Iron Bowl in opposition to Auburn.
4th-and-goal from the 31, Alabama’s CFP hopes on the road. No downside.
Jalen Milroe throws it up, Isaiah Bond comes down with it for the game-winning TD.pic.twitter.com/GZGpB1OoZr
— The Comeback (@thecomeback) November 26, 2023
2024 was presupposed to be one other continued 12 months of development, however the season was stuffed with highs and lows. For each monster sport he had in opposition to groups like Georgia in 2024, there have been video games like his last one in opposition to Michigan that simply depart you wanting extra from him. Now, he enters the NFL Draft as the largest instance of the Peter Griffin thriller field meme. Jalen Milroe might be something — he may even be a celebrity QB! However what does he carry to the desk and what does he have to enhance on as a passer to succeed in that ceiling?
For one, when Milroe will get to the NFL, he’ll instantly be among the best, if not the very best athlete on the QB spot. He ran a 4.37 40-yard sprint on the Alabama professional day at 6’1 and 216 kilos, which is tremendous spectacular for anybody at that measurement, not to mention a QB. Jalen Milroe isn’t only a math-changing runner; he’s a field-tilting one. His imaginative and prescient and burst as a runner are next-level, and an NFL offense can design run sport packages for him within the pink zone instantly in his first 12 months to attempt to get some explosiveness on the sphere. Alabama cherished sending him behind RB Jam Miller in some fairly dope designed-run sport appears to be like, and Milroe was in a position to be explosive behind that.
Watch certainly one of his 4 (!) landing runs in opposition to LSU proper right here. He’s following behind Miller, and most QBs are far too impatient to let this run develop. However watch Milroe preserve the cornerback (14) set as much as the surface, then get vertical. The security is in a poor spot, and Milroe makes him pay by blasting by means of the lane the place the security needs to be and into the top zone.
Not solely is he a runner with good imaginative and prescient and burst, he can power missed tackles as properly. He had a 14.3% Damaged Deal with and Missed Deal with Price as a runner, however that’s largely as a consequence of the truth that he ran the ball so darn a lot. His explosiveness briefly areas mixed along with his decrease physique leg drive make him a troublesome man to deal with in any state of affairs, not simply the designed run sport. Simply ask Auburn, who appeared like they have been attempting to deal with a person made out of rubber like they’re CP9 in One Piece.
Auburn will get a free runner on a blitz in opposition to Alabama’s QB draw, virtually a dying knell for many designed QB run performs. Milroe freezes this runner and turns it right into a 9-yard achieve, simply off pure athleticism.
Now, I guess you’re most likely asking “properly what about his capacity as a passer?” I’m right here to let you know … that it’s nonetheless coming alongside. Nonetheless, there are cases the place his passing potential shines by means of, particularly throwing downfield and off play motion. His On-Goal Price of 87.5% off play motion (excluding RPOs) is a giant leap from his 69.3% On-Goal Price with out play motion or RPO utilization. While you have a look at his passing off play motion, his ft are a lot cleaner and he snaps the ball out to his targets lots faster. Sure, this over route is open, however have a look at Milroe’s ft and passing mechanics utilizing play motion. A lot, a lot tighter and environment friendly.
Off play motion, he also can exhibit the arm expertise that I might describe as a “hose”. The ball placement and accuracy comes and goes, however having the ability to hit this out-route from the sphere is a few pure arm expertise, man. I can undoubtedly see a staff speaking themselves into this.
One thing else groups will discuss themselves into is the deep ball. Cory Kinnan charted Milroe’s deep ball at 51%, which is above common for his scouting profile. He can, and can, unload deep passes with loads of contact and is on-target in that zone as properly. When you’ll be able to put the ball in a bucket like this, an NFL staff could make you into one thing.
It is a huge boy throw, an out-breaker in opposition to man protection to the far aspect of the sphere. He sees the defender journey with WR Ryan Williams and the security excessive, which permits him to entry this nook route by placing the ball into the bucket.
Okay, now that we’ve mentioned what Milroe can do and could be on the NFL stage, let’s speak about a few of his shortcomings. To begin off, placing it merely: His accuracy and ball placement are in all places. Pretty much as good as he’s at throwing the deep ball, his fast sport ball placement is extremely poor. As I sat watching him miss on simple targets, I questioned why he would miss on these however be on the cash downfield. I feel a majority of it comes from his mechanics and his ft. Take a look at this incompletion in opposition to Tennessee from his decrease half. As Williams runs this over route, Milroe’s physique isn’t set to throw this precisely, however man he simply sails this as a result of his plant leg isn’t lined up with the place he’s throwing. There are too many cases of this on the tape, the place his decrease physique is mechanically out of whack.
Milroe may also lock his again leg usually when he throws the ball, sapping his accuracy downfield regardless of having a powerful arm. He finally ends up protecting his again leg behind him and the throw finally ends up being all arm, hurting him on passes like these the place he simply sails it.
That is the largest knock in Milroe’s sport, what’ll maintain him again from being a constant starter. He’s not an excellent versatile passer, which impacts the varied arm angles he may probably unlock. Philadelphia Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts can also be not a versatile passer, however Hurts’ growth monitor and what he’s as a passer might be one thing that Milroe replicates. Nonetheless, to ensure that him to try this he’s going to have to repair his decrease physique.
I additionally suppose that his course of is only a tick late an excessive amount of. He holds on to the ball a bit too lengthy, and it generally will get baffling. The difficulty is, although, I don’t suppose he’s being fooled by the protection. I feel it’s as a result of he’s ready for the receiver to uncover versus throwing him open. Milroe will maintain onto the ball to let his receiver get into the window as an alternative of throwing with anticipation, and the ball goes the correct place, however the timing is method off. Let’s have a look at this play in opposition to Michigan, the place he’s right to focus on the over route, however he waits till he’s really extensive open to let this ball go, and it permits for the security to drive on the ball and power an incompletion. That’s what alarms me essentially the most with Milroe, much more than the accuracy.
The NFL has seen these extremely athletic quarterbacks get drafted and nonetheless have but to pan out. The Colts took Anthony Richardson within the prime 5 (which admittedly I cherished), as a result of though he was going to take a minute to pan out, the athletic upside was an excessive amount of to go up.
With Milroe, I feel groups are reeling from what occurred with Richardson and Justin Fields (who’s an excellent comparability enjoying type smart), which is pulling Milroe down the board. Nonetheless, the highs are so excessive and is likely to be too good to go up.
Now I don’t see him occurring Day 1 in any respect, however on Day 2 I can see somebody shopping for in on the upside and athletic instruments. He’ll take a look at a staff’s (and their fanbase’s) persistence, however in the correct ecosystem, he really might be something.