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Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Genesis Invitational odds, picks: Scottie Scheffler favored once more


LA JOLLA, Calif. — This 12 months’s Genesis Invitational will look a lot totally different than years previous because the South Course at Torrey Pines will host a Signature Occasion for the primary time. The PGA Tour had no selection however to relocate this week’s occasion from Riviera Nation Membership in Los Angeles because of the wildfires which have severely impacted the area.

Consequently, 37 gamers who performed on this 12 months’s Farmers Insurance coverage Open return to Torrey Pines three weeks after Harris English emerged victorious on the South Course. That features Hideki Matsuyama, the fourth-ranked participant on this planet, who additionally arrives because the defending champion of the Genesis Invitational. However final month’s Farmers Insurance coverage Open featured solely 17 gamers ranked among the many prime 50 within the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR). That starkly contrasts this week, which options 46 of the highest 50 within the OWGR.

As soon as once more, World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler arrives because the pre-tournament favourite once more, having 4-to-1 odds to win, in response to FanDuel. Oddsmakers at present checklist Rory McIlroy, the third-ranked participant on this planet, at 7-to-1 to win, which is second-lowest among the many discipline.

In the meantime, World No. 2 Xander Schauffele stays sidelined with a rib harm and has given no timetable for his return. The Southern California native has not performed because the season-opening Sentry in Maui.

The opposite huge storyline this week includes Mom Nature, which can as soon as once more impression play at Torrey Pines. If you happen to recall, through the second spherical of this 12 months’s Farmers Insurance coverage Open, PGA Tour officers needed to droop play on account of 35-mile-per-hour wind gusts that made circumstances unplayable. Golf balls wouldn’t cease rolling on these quick and agency greens, which compelled the stoppage of play.

The wind will once more impression play this week, however an ‘Atmospheric River’ will descend upon Southern California, bringing chilly, wet climate. Temperatures is not going to exceed 60 levels, that means the golf ball is not going to journey as far. The course will obtain over an inch of rain between Wednesday and Friday, making it longer and more difficult. At the least the greens will probably be softer. As for the winds, the PGA Tour’s official meteorologist requires gusts to peak at 24-miles-per-hour on Wednesday and Thursday.

Count on scores to be larger this week due to the circumstances. Anybody who shoots decrease than 10-under will possible emerge because the winner.

Genesis Invitational Odds:

Listed below are the newest odds for gamers to win the 2025 Genesis Invitational, courtesy of FanDuel:

Scottie Scheffler +400
Rory McIlroy +700
Collin Morikawa +1400
Justin Thomas +1800
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Ludvig Aberg +2500
Patrick Cantlay +3300
Sungjae Im +3500
Jordan Spieth +4000
Rasmus Hojgaard +4000
Taylor Pendrith +4000
Tony Finau +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Jason Day +4500
Robert MacIntyre +4500
Shane Lowry +4500
Will Zalatoris +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Thomas Detry +5000
Tom Kim +5000
Sepp Straka +5000
Maverick McNealy +5500
Viktor Hovland +5500
Keegan Bradley +6000
Russell Henley +6000
Min Woo Lee +6000
Wyndham Clark +7000
Cameron Younger +7000
Byeong Hun An +7500
Adam Scott +7500
J.T. Poston +8000
Sahith Theegala +8000
Si Woo Kim +8000
Samuel Stevens +8000
Max Greyserman +9000
Akshay Bhatia +9000
Harris English +9000
Daniel Berger +9000

Hideki Matsuyama, PGA Tour, Genesis Invitational

Hideki Matsuyama arrives in Southern California because the defending champion.
Photograph by Ronald Martinez/Getty Photos

Enjoying By way of’s Picks:

Jack Milko — Workers Author, Golf

After taking every week off, Collin Morikawa returns to his house state, trying to win for the primary time since October 2023, when he captured the ZOZO Championship in Japan.

Morikawa will snap his 15-month winless drought this week and win the Genesis Invitational on a course that fits his sport completely. The scorecard measures 7,765 yards, an eye-opening size that may play even longer because of the moist circumstances forecasted throughout rounds one and two.

Certain, Morikawa is just not the most important hitter on tour — he ranks 154th in driving distance. However essentially the most essential attributes he’ll depend on this week are his accuracy and his method play. The 2-time main winner has hit 90-of-116 fairways thus far this season, which equates to 77.59 p.c and is second on the PGA Tour. Avoiding the thick, wholesome, and moist ryegrass tough that line these fairways is of utmost significance this week. Morikawa will try this and plot his means round Torrey Pines.

He additionally has gained extra strokes on method than every other participant thus far in 2025, additional proof that he is without doubt one of the finest ball strikers on this planet. His lengthy irons will turn out to be useful this week, as he’ll as soon as once more hit loads of greens, avoiding scrambling for par as a lot as attainable. No person hits their 4, 5, or six-irons higher than Morikawa.

This golf course fits Morikawa’s eye too. He tied for fourth on the U.S. Open in 2021 and completed solo third on the 2023 Farmers Insurance coverage Open. He missed the lower by a stroke final 12 months, however one dangerous swing on the seventeenth gap late on Friday sealed his destiny. He hooked one out-of-bounds left and made a double en path to capturing a 3-over 75, simply the second over-par rating he has signed for at Torrey Pines in his profession.

FanDuel Odds: Morikawa to win at +1400

Collin Morikawa, PGA Tour, Farmers Insurance Open

Collin Morikawa on the 4th gap at Torrey Pines through the 2024 Farmers Insurance coverage Open.
Photograph by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Photos

RJ Ochoa — Senior Producer, Running a blog the Boys

Thus far this season I’ve solely picked Scottie Scheffler and whereas I don’t really feel any guilt or disgrace about that… I’ve come up dry.

I’m noting right here earlier than my decide that I’m NOT choosing Scottie, which, OF COURSE, means this would be the week he wins, every thing goes chalk, and I look foolish. Anyway, I digress.

For this distinctive version of the Genesis Invitational, I’m going to take the recommendation of my new good friend, former New York Giants vast receiver Victor Cruz. Ludvig Åberg has had a while away to recuperate from the sickness that plagued him at the start of the West Coast swing. In spite of everything, earlier than he turned sick, Åberg fired a 9-under 63 on day one of many Farmers Insurance coverage Open and held the solo lead. Then the flu struck, and he sunk down the leaderboard and in the end tied for forty second. He shot 75-74-79 over his remaining 54 holes at Torrey Pines three weeks in the past, barely wanting just like the participant who was firing on all cylinders on day one. He reportedly bought sick on the course, too. So now he has an opportunity to seize a big-time win, redeem himself at an iconic course, and take his title to a brand new degree as issues ramp up in the direction of The Gamers. It seems like we’re due a win from a big-time title, though Rory McIlroy simply received, and this checks that field for me.

FanDuel Odds: Åberg to win at +2500

Ludvig Åberg, PGA Tour, Farmers Insurance Open

Ludvig Åberg on the fourth gap through the remaining spherical of the 2025 Farmers Insurance coverage Open.
Photograph by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Photos

Mark Schofield — Workers Author, NFL and System 1

I used to be getting again within the automotive final Friday after getting a haircut when my cellphone buzzed.

It was my pricey good friend Jack, with the unlucky information that my decide for the WM Phoenix Open, J.J. Spaun, withdrew on account of an sickness.

Provided that, I really feel the necessity to decide one other lengthy shot this week in his honor. So let’s go along with Irishman Shane Lowry, who appears to play nicely in horrible climate. Lowry has not received on the PGA Tour since teaming up with Rory McIlroy on the Zurich Traditional of New Orleans final 12 months, considered one of his three profession victories. However when a type of wins is The Open itself, as he did again in 2019 at Royal Portrush, you realize he can strike the ball nicely.

That’s what Lowry did the final day trip at Pebble Seaside. Lowry completed second on the AT&T Pebble Seaside Professional-Am, getting off to a blazing begin over his first three rounds. He was 15-under heading into the ultimate spherical, however three bogeys on his entrance 9 on Sunday noticed his Ryder Cup and Zurich Traditional teammate draw back.

Lowry has additionally been improbable with the flat stick thus far this season, rating second on the PGA Tour in each One-Putt Proportion (50-percent), and Putts per Spherical (27).

And the truth that he goes off at +4000 is mighty intriguing.

Oh, and when you’re questioning, the 2025 Open is at Royal Portrush too.

FanDuel Odds: Lowry to win at +4000

Shane Lowry, PGA Tour, Farmers Insurance Open

Shane Lowry through the second spherical of the 2025 Farmers Insurance coverage Open.
Photograph by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Photos

Jack Milko is a golf employees author for SB Nation’s Enjoying By way of. Observe him on X @jack_milko.



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